Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006849 0.007657 0.008538 0.009573 0.010760 0.012080 0.013667
2025-04-13 0.005412 0.006473 0.007728 0.009330 0.011337 0.013790 0.017045
2025-04-20 0.004691 0.005864 0.007325 0.009300 0.011931 0.015364 0.020260
2025-04-27 0.004309 0.005585 0.007246 0.009599 0.012904 0.017471 0.024412
2025-05-04 0.003906 0.005214 0.006979 0.009579 0.013398 0.018936 0.027834
2025-05-11 0.003608 0.004944 0.006803 0.009643 0.013985 0.020572 0.031721
2025-05-18 0.003312 0.004642 0.006544 0.009540 0.014287 0.021783 0.035084
2025-05-25 0.003116 0.004462 0.006438 0.009645 0.014907 0.023553 0.039635
2025-06-01 0.002903 0.004234 0.006236 0.009571 0.015215 0.024827 0.043496
2025-06-08 0.002656 0.003936 0.005897 0.009240 0.015048 0.025248 0.045820
2025-06-15 0.002515 0.003789 0.005781 0.009259 0.015479 0.026773 0.050516
2025-06-22 0.002454 0.003763 0.005857 0.009607 0.016524 0.029557 0.058248
2025-06-29 0.002262 0.003518 0.005562 0.009299 0.016369 0.030095 0.061483
2025-07-06 0.002097 0.003306 0.005308 0.009046 0.016295 0.030801 0.065284
2025-07-13 0.001987 0.003178 0.005186 0.009018 0.016651 0.032430 0.071549
2025-07-20 0.001937 0.003148 0.005232 0.009306 0.017670 0.035612 0.082313
2025-07-27 0.001844 0.003037 0.005125 0.009287 0.018050 0.037444 0.090059
2025-08-03 0.001771 0.002955 0.005062 0.009349 0.018607 0.039761 0.099672
2025-08-10 0.001682 0.002839 0.004926 0.009249 0.018796 0.041231 0.107254
2025-08-17 0.001626 0.002778 0.004890 0.009351 0.019448 0.043936 0.119200
2025-08-24 0.001553 0.002681 0.004777 0.009279 0.019690 0.045643 0.128530
2025-08-31 0.001456 0.002534 0.004557 0.008960 0.019311 0.045673 0.132446
2025-09-07 0.001404 0.002469 0.004496 0.008979 0.019752 0.047973 0.144679